Economic Recovery: Demanding More Purchasing Power
What a delight it would be to have some inflation! Yes, dear reader, that’s the real reason that fiscal stimulus appears to work. That is, that’s the reason inflation can sometimes boost employment. It creates inflation. And inflation lowers wages. Lower wages make it cheaper to hire people. And they make US output more competitive [...]
Dow Rallies, Dow Falls: What’s Driving Volatility?
Last Friday (February 5) was yet another interesting day to compare the stock market action with the explanations from conventional analysts. (This show never gets old, I swear.) Around midday, the Dow was down almost 170 points; everything pointed to another grim day. But then the blue chips reversed and closed higher. Don’t look for [...]
Equity Market Correction a One Quarter Event
I believe equity markets (and riskier assets in general) are in the midst of a 10-15% correction that plays out within one quarter, which is normal, not at the onset of the next financial avalanche, which lasts many quarters.
There was never any question that the extraordinary policy maneuvers of 2009 would begin to be unwound [...]
More new lows than highs; T2108 and stochastic in oversold territory
For the first time since early November, there were more new lows than new highs in my universe of 4,000 stocks on Friday…
Source
What the Past Tells Us
Perhaps because we are a young country, Americans tend not to pay much attention to the lessons of history. Well, we should start, because those lessons are brutal. Power, even great power, if not well tended, erodes over time. Nations, like corporations and people, can lose discipline and morale. Economic and political vulnerability go hand [...]
Essential Employees in the Government Growth Industry
There was a storm raging on Wall Street too. And by the end of the day, traders, investors and speculators probably wished they had stocked more alcohol for the weekend.
The Dow was up 10 points. After being down 100 points. Gold fell $10.
“Clearly we have entered the worry, fear camp,” said one pro.
Unfortunately, today’s action [...]
Inflation: Ignoring Doesn’t Make it Go Away
Being absolutely Frightened Out Of My Mind (FOOMM) about inflation, I am always looking at how much things cost and seeing if there is any inflation, so that the next time somebody tells me that inflation is “tame, benign, absent, nothing to worry about”, I can shake my proof in their stupid little faces and [...]
Q’s Confronting Resistance
The action in the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) is not exactly ripping the…
Source
The Rounded Reversal into Support on Spain’s Index
So much attention lately has been devoted to the “PIIGS” countries and economic concerns, but I wanted to take a special look at Spain’s market index…
Source
Indicators the Disciplined Investor is Watching Feb 8
Monday brings us another quick update of the “Indicators the Disciplined…
Source
